ATL
Falcons
NFC SouthOFF: Wide ZoneDEF: Sound Multiple
1st Pick
#48
Scheme ConfidenceTier 3Major Transition
Atlanta faces major schematic uncertainty with new HC Kevin Stefanski and OC Tommy Rees installing a Wide Zone system. The offensive projection comes from Stefanski's coaching tree rather than empirical data, creating low confidence in the scheme fit. There's a significant philosophical shift brewing: Atlanta ran 80.9% shotgun last season under Zac Robinson, but Stefanski's career average is just 57.2%. The defense has more stability with Jeff Ulbrich returning as DC, bringing high confidence in his Sound Multiple scheme based on his empirical playcalling history. Ulbrich's blitz rate of 22.9% should be a stark contrast to last year's aggressive 35.9% approach under Jimmy Lake.
Positional Needs
WRCRITICAL
7.6
QBHIGH
5.4
EDGEHIGH
5.1
DBHIGH
5.0
RBMODERATE
4.8
IDLMODERATE
4.3
LBMODERATE
4.2
TEMODERATE
3.5
OLLOW
3.0
Coaching & Scheme
Head CoachKevin Stefanski
OC
Tommy ReesNew
DC
Jeff Ulbrich
Wide ZoneLow conf
Outside zone rushing, play-action, bootleg
Source: hc tree
Sound MultipleHigh conf
Multiple fronts, assignment-sound, zone coverage
Source: empirical
2026 Draft Capital
Rd 2
#48
Rd 3
#79
Rd 4
#114
Rd 6
#197
Rd 7
#231
Key Roster Moves
ADDED17
WRJahan DotsonPHI$7.5M
WROlamide ZaccheausCHI$4.5M
TEAustin HooperNE$3.3M
DECameron ThomasCLE$3.1M
DEDa'Shawn HandLAC$3.0M
LOST33
ILBRonnie Harrison→ MIA
TRyan Hayes→ TEN
CJovaughn Gwyn→ BAL
ILBKaden Elliss→ NO
WRDarnell Mooney→ NYG
Roster Traits & Gaps
Arm Talent
450.16 gap
Scheme weight: 0.9×
Decision Making
400.26 gap
Scheme weight: 1.1×
Mobility & Playmaking
240.71 gap
Scheme weight: 1.4× (critical)
Pocket Presence
590.02 gap
Scheme weight: 0.8×
Production Volume
310.34 gap
Scheme weight: 0.9×
QB
Roster Overview1
Michael Penix Jr.
72
Key Concerns
▸Wide receiver room has virtually zero deep threat capability (4 out of 100), severely limiting the vertical concepts that make Wide Zone effective.
▸Zone coverage across the secondary rates at just 34 out of 100, creating a fundamental mismatch with Ulbrich's zone-heavy defensive philosophy.
▸Quarterback mobility at 24 out of 100 conflicts with Wide Zone's bootleg and rollout concepts that Stefanski traditionally employs.
▸Multiple key players including Drake London, Jake Matthews, and several depth pieces have contract situations that need resolution after this season.
▸Interior pass rush sits at just 18 out of 100, limiting the defense's ability to generate pressure without heavy blitzing.
Top Prospect Fits · 15 shown
1
IDL
Rene Konga#26
Do-It-All Interior79
fit
2
IDL
Ethan Hurkett#13
Interior Pass Rusher77
fit
3
DB
Dillon Thieneman#2
Do-It-All Safety77
fit
4
WR
Chris Bell#41
Possession Receiver77
fit
5
IDL
Dontay Corleone#84
Do-It-All Interior77
fit
6
WR
Cameron Dorner#53
Possession Receiver77
fit
7
EDGE
David Bailey#10
Pass Rush Specialist77
fit
8
IDL
Eddie Walls III#19
Interior Pass Rusher77
fit